Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2942
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
PD 2942 · BOS → YTZ
departs 9:25 AM ET · arrives 11:26 AM EDT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at YTZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to YTZ?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at YTZ that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into YTZ at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.03 in
YTZ (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.