Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2942
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 16
PD 2942 · BOS → YTZ
departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 1:13 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 14%
Mon 10/19 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at YTZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to YTZ?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at YTZ that day
↑
11am departures from BOS are often late
↓
YTZ usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.30 in
YTZ (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.