Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5928
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
PT 5928 · CLT → AVL
departs 8:41 AM ET · arrives 9:33 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/12 19%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi forecast at AVL that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AVL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.