PT 6033 · MHT → PHL

took off 7:32 PM ET · expected to land 8:39 PM ET (scheduled 7:36 PM ET → 9:23 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at MHT that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.01 in

PHL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6033 · MHT → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?