tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 231 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

TP 231 · LIS → IAD

departs 11:40 AM WEST · arrives 3:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.