UA 1338 · FLL → IAH

departs 6:34 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1338 · FLL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?