Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1369 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 6:47 PM CT (37 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 1369 · ORD → DCA

departs 6:00 PM CT · arrives 9:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DCA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1369 · ORD → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?