Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1891 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 1891 · MSP → DEN

departs 9:05 AM CT · arrives 10:21 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is prone to delays

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1891 · MSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?