Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2769 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 2769 · DEN → SLC

departs 7:23 PM MT · arrives 8:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±10 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2769 · DEN → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?