Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2769 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

UA 2769 · DEN → SLC

departs 7:23 PM MT · arrives 8:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±9 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.833333 mi Precip0.19 in

SLC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2769 · DEN → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?