Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2811SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2811 · ORD → LAS
departs 9:40 AM CT · arrives 11:41 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±6 pts−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.