Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 853
DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 12:16 AM PT (22 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Tomorrow
UA 853 · SFO → TPE
departs 12:04 AM PT · arrives 4:31 AM CST
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPE?
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On time or early
92%
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15–30 min late
2%
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30 min–1 hour late
4%
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1–2 hours late
1%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.