Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 853SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 853 · SFO → TPE
departs 12:02 AM PT · arrives 4:17 AM CST
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPE?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.