Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1292
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 1292 · DCA → MDW
departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
DCA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.