WN 3079 · MSP → MDW

departs 10:38 AM CT · arrives 12:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from MSP are often late

↑ MDW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3079 · MSP → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?