WN 408 · DAL → DCA

departs 6:14 AM CT · arrives 10:10 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DAL are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 408 · DAL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?