tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4032 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 4032 · IAD → LGA

departs 8:17 AM ET · arrives 9:33 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.