Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 6273SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YV 6273 · SBN → IAD
departs 10:07 AM ET · arrives 11:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.