Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5600
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
YX 5600 · DCA → BOS
departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 5:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 39%
Sun 10/18 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.