tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1130 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1130 · BOG → MIA

departs 6:24 AM -05 · arrives 11:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.