Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1151SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1151 · DFW → DCA
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 12:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.