Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1218SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1218 · DCA → PHX
departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 11:44 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±3 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.