Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1541SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1541 · PHX → LAS
departs 2:20 PM MT · arrives 3:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±6 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.