tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1541 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1541 · PHX → LAS

departs 2:23 PM MT · arrives 3:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±15 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    50%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    25%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.