Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1815SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1815 · GCM → MIA
departs 8:00 AM EST · arrives 10:43 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.