tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2169 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2169 · BOS → PHL

departs 9:19 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.