Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2584SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2584 · SRQ → DCA
departs 12:01 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.