Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2657 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AA 2657 · CLT → TUL

departs 11:24 AM ET · arrives 12:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.53 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2657 · CLT → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?