tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2712 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2712 · PWM → DCA

departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
5% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 6.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    94%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.