tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 892 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 892 · MCI → MIA

departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 9:18 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.