Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1357SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1357 · SEA → SNA
departs 11:06 AM PT · arrives 1:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.