Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 731SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 731 · PHX → PAE
departs 11:18 AM MT · arrives 2:26 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PAE?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.