tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 9 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AV 9 · MIA → BOG

departs 2:42 AM ET · arrives 5:21 AM -05
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.