Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 715 · BOS → BUF
departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 10/13 64%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 41%
Fri 10/16 45%
Sat 10/17 34%
Sun 10/18 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.08 in
BUF (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.