Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 8042
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
BW 8042 · MIA → KIN
departs 1:03 AM ET · arrives 3:15 AM EST
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at KIN more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at KIN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at KIN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to KIN?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at KIN that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
KIN (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.