Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ETHIOPIAN · FLIGHT ET 512SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
ET 512 · ABJ → JFK
departs 1:28 PM GMT · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.