Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1402
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
F9 1402 · DEN → BNA
departs 10:31 AM MT · arrives 2:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 27%
Fri 10/16 21%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.19 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.