Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3566
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
F9 3566 · DEN → DTW
departs 10:23 AM MT · arrives 3:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
10am departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 0.48 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.