Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4423 · STL → ORD
departs 6:08 AM CT · arrives 7:39 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/12 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 10%
Sat 10/17 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.56 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.