Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
G7 4423 · STL → ORD
departs 5:55 AM CT · arrives 7:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/14 17%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 10%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 17%
Mon 10/19 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at STL that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from STL are usually not late
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.47 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.