Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4612 · XNA → ORD
departs 7:36 AM CT · arrives 9:41 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 19%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.92 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.