Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
G7 4612 · XNA → ORD
departs 7:37 AM CT · arrives 9:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 18%
Wed 10/14 37%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
7am departures from XNA are usually not late
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.