Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8195 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

departs 10:58 AM ET · arrives 7:26 PM -03

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at GRU more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRU?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8195 · MIA → GRU

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRU?