Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 3583 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

KG 3583 · DEN → ALS

departs 12:40 PM MT · arrives 1:47 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at ALS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±5 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ALS?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt forecast at ALS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ALS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.733333 mi Precip0.19 in

ALS (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 3583 · DEN → ALS

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALS?