Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 3583 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

KG 3583 · DEN → ALS

departs 12:41 PM MT · arrives 1:37 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at ALS more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ALS?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into ALS at that hour are usually not late

↓ KG's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.31 in

ALS (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 3583 · DEN → ALS

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALS?