Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 5745 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

KG 5745 · ORD → MKG

departs 8:58 AM CT · arrives 10:44 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at MKG more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKG?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MKG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.25 in

MKG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 5745 · ORD → MKG

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKG?