Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 5745 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 15

KG 5745 · ORD → MKG

departs 8:58 AM CT · arrives 10:36 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 70h before departure

Arrive at MKG more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKG?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into MKG at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 5745 · ORD → MKG

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKG?