Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 640 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

KG 640 · RIW → DEN

departs 7:13 PM MT · arrives 8:52 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 7pm departures from RIW are usually not late

Weather at each end

RIW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.45 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 640 · RIW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?