Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
LH 425 · BOS → MUC
departs 8:22 PM ET · arrives 9:31 AM CEST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 30%
Sat 10/17 20%
Sun 10/18 21%
Mon 10/19 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MUC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MUC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2.66667 mi Precip 0.01 in
MUC (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.