Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 425 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

Thursday, October 15

LH 425 · BOS → MUC

departs 8:22 PM ET · arrives 9:31 AM CEST

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 104h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.

How late will it get to MUC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

Typical odds come from past years’ weather on this date, so there are no forecast drivers yet.

Weather at each end

Too early for a weather forecast for Thu, Oct 15. These odds use the weather this date has had in past years; the forecast for BOS and MUC appears here about 3 days before departure.

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LH 425 · BOS → MUC

Odds over time

How late will it get to MUC?